Outlook on politics and elections in the state of Washington from an overall centrist viewpoint. My views tend to be libertarian in nature, but at the same time are largely nonpartisan.
As promised, download links for my legislative predictions are available in the system tray to the right. The files are Microsoft Excel XP, and include candidates who filed for House and Senate races along with personal predictions. I intend to update them periodically as new information is available, generally around mid-month due to PDC finance reporting.
posted by TMW @ 8:53 PM
I like to think that I'm a rarity in blogging, in that I'm a political nerd who doesn't have a partisan axe to grind in everything they write. I considered myself a Republican up until 2004 when I finally had enough of their bible-based politics, yet still harbour a deep dislike of the Democratic Party because of their ties to labour groups as well as their tendency to bloat budgets. Ideologically I'm somewhere between centrist and libertarian. On economics I fit neatly in the centre-right, while on social issues I can be fairly radical. And no, I'm not British. It's just that I can respect that they created our language and know how to write it properly.
4 Comments:
Thanks for the feedback, I actually noticed a few errors in the Senate one after uploading it, one of which was that the Roach race was listed as a toss-up. I initially had close races listed as toss-ups but decided it was a cop-out and changed all to leaners but missed that one. On the next update it will be a GOP lean, though Ward lost by a thin margin in 2002 in a GOP year, so I think she has a decent shot in spite of how ingrained Roach is. I totally agree about Dunn, I would like to see him go without knowing much policy-wise about Burkman. Glad to have found a fellow Tom and Kilmer fan, as well. They're both going to make great moderate senators.
TMW,
I like your worksheets. It is a good quick summary. You may consider adding a total for each house at the bottom of the worksheets. In addition, you may want to add a short sentence or two on why you are changing your predications.
Those are good ideas, Island. Thanks for the feedback, and nice to hear from you again.
The Hurst-Shabro race might be the toughest call there. If Hurst had run against Dan Roach then I would definitely lean it Democratic, but since he chose the more moderate, likable, experienced incumbent I feel it could really go either way. I'm waiting on new C4 reports from the PDC so I can re-evaluate the close ones.
I think I'll take your advice on the primary winners, it would be rather simple to go through and make note of who holds the advantage there.
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