And now SurveyUSA
In contrast with yesterday's Constituent Dynamics numbers, SurveyUSA today released a poll for the 8th Congressional district showing incumbent GOPer Dave Reichert leading Darcy Burner 51-45. This is a slightly larger lead for Reichert than last month's poll, where he led within the MOE 50-47. The MOE for this poll was ±4.1%, with a partisan sample of 37D, 36R, 25I. Interestingly enough, Burner led those who had already voted 53-45, while Reichert leads with those who haven't 53-42. Those likely voters yet to vote comprised 75% of the sample.
posted by TMW @ 11:20 AM
2 Comments:
There are a lot of odd things in this poll that are not easily explained by anything other than the odd nature of polls. For example how does Burner suddenly fall so far behind with women and independents. I don't see that. And after Reichert's latest demeaning ad, I see that even less.
Yeah, I'd chalk it up to sample differences more than anything. I would be very surprised if Burner didn't carry women in the end.
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