The Moderate Washingtonian

Outlook on politics and elections in the state of Washington from an overall centrist viewpoint. My views tend to be libertarian in nature, but at the same time are largely nonpartisan.

13 October 2006

Next stop on the poll rollercoaster

I had meant to post this earlier, but due to being at the way-cool Killers concert at the Paramount tonight I had to put it off until now. So, it seems we have a new poll for the 8th CD, a follow-up to the RT Strategies/Constituent Dynamics poll from late August. That poll showed Democratic candidate Darcy Burner leading GOP incumbent Dave Reichert 49-46 with a ~3% MOE. The current incarnate shows a rough flip from the last with Reichert leading 48-45, yet still within the MOE. Its partisan sample was 39 Independent, 32 Republican, and 29 Democratic, which does not quite seem right, at least in that it is at-odds with the most-recent SurveyUSA partisan sample. The breakdown by region has the two candidates tied in the city of Bellevue, and Reichert with modest leads in rural King and Pierce counties.

It is worth noting that Constituent Dynamics also polled the Idaho 1st district race, where Democrat Larry Grant appears to be catching up to ultra-conservative GOP nominee Bill Sali. Sali leads by 49-43, though this is the first poll I've seen for this race that did not have an unusually-massive amount of undecided respondents. Personally, I hope mainstream Idaho Republicans will be willing to cross over for Grant if only to keep the inept nut their party nominated out of Congress. Their bench is so deep that they would almost assuredly be able to take the seat back in 2008, and spare the nation a Rep. Bill Sali.


At 12:59 PM, Blogger Julie in Boise said...

Thanks for mentioning our race, TMW. It's interesting to note that 48% of the people in the poll self-ID as Republicans, but Sali's strrong support is just 33%. (Grant's strong support is at 32%. It couldn't be tighter.)

There is a Republicans for Grant site up and running:

At 1:42 AM, Blogger TMW said...

Sure thing, Julie. I wish the GOP establishment that detests Sali would take a real step in opposing his candidacy and support Larry Grant. It's fine to say that Sali is an ineffective legislator and a bully, but by not publicly endorsing his opponent they are tacitly approving of his conduct. They need to put up or shut up.

At 2:36 AM, Blogger Will said...

I've got soul, but I'm not a soldier...


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